Wednesday, 21 August 2013

ANALYSIS OF INDIAN STOCK MARKET FOR THE DAY 21ST AUGUST



The Indian markets after seeing some light intraday, continued their capitulation for the fourth consecutive session. There was an initial spurt in the markets, thanks to the latest RBI measures to loosen some liquidity that led the banking stocks rejoice, moving considerably higher after a series of beating on worries that the apex bank may go for a rate hike as rupee depreciated to a record low. The apex bank took various measures of easing liquidity conditions in the market which has worsened with its recent money tightening steps, including raising short-term rates, to curb volatility in the exchange rate of rupee.

The markets despite a good gap-up start went through a very volatile trade with traders opting to book profit at every single opportunity, fearing major downtrend once FII outflow starts. All the early optimism fizzled out in the final hours of the trade and major benchmarks crashed, losing many of their crucial support levels.The markets looked firm in early deals after RBI on late Tuesday announced slew of measures to ease liquidity, including Rs 8,000 crore bond buyback, to ensure adequate credit flow to the productive sectors of the economy. The Reserve Bank will conduct open market purchase of government bonds of Rs 8,000 crore on August 23 to inject liquidity. Nifty and Sensex reclaimed their 5500 and 18500 respectively on the back of short covering and some value buying. However, markets lost ground in the second half of the trade with banking stocks that were flying high since morning,started cooling off. 

Rupee once again showed its weakness and resumed its declining path, hitting a record low of 64.51/$ intraday as rupee traders clicked on panic button after selling dollar in early morning on anticipation of strength in the local currency. There was across the board weakness in the emerging market currencies. Most strikingly, the IT sector that usually remains in jubilation mood on rupee depreciation, too suffered sharp cuts despite the weakness in rupee on profit booking. Finally the markets suffered another major jolt, losing over one and half a percent, the broader markets after showing some resilience, too fell in line to the benchmarks. Sectorally consumer durables witnessed some buying, while the banking too ended in green despite losing most of their gains, while all other indices ended with sharp cuts.

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