For
the last couple of weeks, it looked as if the good ol’ days might be back for
gold.
It
had surged back to $1400, and there was just the right level of Syria-related
angst and economic uncertainty to help it buoyed.
But
Syria is less of a concern than it was two weeks ago, and there’s more chatter
about synchronized global growth (US, Europe, China all moving in the right
direction at the right time).
So
gold is falling again.
In a
few sentences, Nomura’s Tyler Broda makes the case that the gold rally is over,
and that it will be an ugly 2014.
Gold’s
rally in the summer has occurred into rising real yields, suggesting that there
is potential for some snapback. However, in our view, gold has now made most of
its move, for now. We continue to be bearish on gold for 2014. Our strategists
and economists expect real interest rates to increase and market conditions to
improve. Persisting gold supply and slumping central bank demand add to the
less than constructive fundamental conditions.
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