Thursday, 30 April 2015

buy welspun corp




Traded @ BSE/NSE (532144)
Target : 120+


If You Remember, In AMTEK INDIA, We Breaks the Story @ 55 Level...
In Ess-Dee Aluminium, We Breaks the Story @ 130....
Now Amtek is 105 , And Ess-Dee Hit , 300
This Info, Came from Same Source.........

So.......It's Gonna, Rock this Long-Long Weekend, Like Anything....
Buying Strongly Recommend @ Opening Bell.......

It'll Fire in All Cylinder...........

Here is Our, Answer to Long-Long Weekend..
You, Must Grab this Hotty @ Opening Bell....

In Next 3 - 5 Days....It'll be , 120+...........
Buy @ 81 - 83

buy coromandel engineering



Traded @ BSE Only(533167)
Target : 70+  


Buy @ 45 - 46

Nothing’s as good as tuition at the school of trading

TUITION

GOLD SPOT-Not Crossed $ 1225,Crashed Vertically.All Eyes on $ 1174

Below $ 1179 level ,If closes ……..Watch PANIC upto 1164–1159 level !
Trendline SUPPORT $ 1174 LEVEL

Achhe Din? Continuous fall in core industrial sectors growth. Nov: 6.7%, Dec: 2.4%, Jan: 1.8%, Feb: 1.4%, Mar: -0.1%.

Annual infrastructure output growth contracted 0.1 per cent in March, mainly dragged down by lower production of steel and cement, government data showed on Thursday.
The output expanded 3.5 per cent for the fiscal year 2014/15 ending March, compared with 4.2 per cent in the previous year.
The infrastructure sector, which comprises coal, crude oil, oil refining, natural gas, steel, cement, electricity and fertilisers, accounts for 37.9 per cent of industrial output.

Tuesday, 28 April 2015

buy welspun corp



Traded @ BSE/NSE(532144)
Target : 85+  


Buy @ 66 - 66.50 
Today's Target : 72.50 - 74+
Ultimate Target :   85+
SL : 60

buy natco pharma



Traded @ BSE/NSE(524816)
Target : 2500+  


Buy @ 2080 - 2090
Today's Target : 2175 - 2200+
Ultimate Target :   2500+
SL : 2030

Trading Strategy For 29th April.In Next 2 sessions ..Will it Break 8200 or Cross 8400 ?

Now -What to expect
Today if stays above 8298 & crosses 8324 with volumes (SUSTAINS for 15 minutes )
Next Target : 8346————–8361—————————————8382 level in hrs only.
7 DEMA @ 8380 (Major Hurdle )
Not Crosses High of 8324 & Trades below  8283 with volumes for 15 minutes 
Then slide upto 8258——8250 & there after Nonstop PANIC upto  8215 is possible in hrs only.

India; The Red Colours Of A Disaster

Nifty Companies See 11% Drop In Revenues, Profits as Cement Players Falter

Nifty Company results, till now, have had it rough, with a 11% drop in cumulative profits in the quarter, compared to last year.
image
The worst performers have been Cement companies, with ACC and Ultratech losing over 25% in profits.
The IT sector saw TCS lose 30% on that big fat bonus payment, but HCLTechWipro and Infosys barely kept their heads above water, in terms of profit growth. (low single digits in percentage growth)
Of the Banks, HDFC Bank and IndusInd both grew profits at 20% or more, but ICICI Bank disappointed with a mere 13% growth in net profit. 
Cairn slipped from a 3,000 cr. profit to a loss in the quarter. The other oil and gas player, Reliance Industries, saw profits up 8.5% even as revenues declined by a third.
Maruti had impressive results, with a 60% growth in EPS.

Consolidated and Added Up: Minus 11%

If you add all the profits and revenues of the companies that have announced results, we are already seeing a 11% drop in both revenues and profits.
Cairn is the biggest culprit on the profit front, having reversed from profits to losses on oil. And Reliance too saw a revenue drop of over 35,000 cr. for the quarter, which hurt revenues big. Even if you removed both of them, revenue increases were only 11% over the previous year, and profits of the rest still went down by 2%.
This isn’t looking good. If you think markets are down and want a reason for them to go even further down, this is as good a reason as any. Our top company results are disastrous.

Once Kissed, Twice Shy

The markets have a plethora of different structures and associations with numbers. Some examples are:
1. Round numbers
2. Opening & closing times
3. Limits
4. Constantly changing magnitudes and significance placed thereupon (for example there were extended periods last summer when the SPU futures had daily ranges in the mid single digits and now it’s a score (20) per day).
Much work is done splicing and dicing numbers and looking for statistically significant positive expectations based on various past conditionality.
As another part of that, I wonder whether or not the first, or second or third instance of some stimuli is more or less predictive than the other or others.
This has been brought up in my mind by the recent dance of the seven veils of many markets with many round numbers.
As a start, how about this:
1. Is the first break of a round more or less predictive than the second (assuming the market has reversed intermediately)?
2. Are moves of the same magnitude in the same or opposite directions of interest within a given timeframe?
3. More qualitatively, when a market breaks some predefined barrier (a round, a magnitude, a correlation coefficient et al) and subsequently does so again later, is this last move more likely to have the same sign/ opposite sign and will the magnitude be greater or lesser?

Monday, 27 April 2015

GOOD MONEY DOWN THE BAD DEBT DRAIN

For Make in India to be a success, Indian banks have to be able to give big loans. Currently, their lending ability is limited as funds are tied-up in non-performing assets
Recently, the Reserve Bank of India announced that it is almost ready with the structure of a Central Fraud Registry and the guidelines for sharing information of fraudulent borrowers on a single platform. This will help bankers check the credentials of a borrowing entity while processing loans. Such a registry has become indispensable to infuse ethical elements and build credibility into the banking industry. 
According to RBI data, as of December 2014, the gross value of non-performing assets held by public sector banks had reached Rs2,60,531 crore. About one third of this bad debt came from the top 30 defaulting borrowers.
Rating agency ICRA (formerly Investment Information and Credit Rating Agency of India Limited) estimates that NPA ratios may rise to 5.5-6.5 per cent by June from the existing level of 3.3 per cent, once the revised RBI guidelines on asset classification come into force.
An NPA is basically a loan or lease that does not meet the stated principal amount and the interest amount payments. They are classified into commercial loans, which are outstanding for payment for more than 90 days, and consumer loans which are due for more than 180 days with interest and/or installment of principal being overdue beyond 90 days.
Overdue receivables which remain unpaid beyond 90 days from specified due date for payment also become NPAs. Additionally, the amount of liquidity facility that remains outstanding for more than 90 days becomes an NPA as well.
NPAs are further classified into three categories based on the timespan for which the asset has remained non-performing and the recovery of the dues: Substandard Assets, Doubtful Assets and Loss Assets.
A substandard asset is one which has been an NPA for less than or equal to 12 months. Doubtful Assets have all the characteristics of Substandard Assets and, additionally, are based on currently known conditions, facts, and values that are highly doubtful and questionable. Loss Assets are those that have been identified as such by the bank’s internal auditors and the RBI’s external auditors but have not yet been written off fully. Loss Assets are considered uncollectible, and have little salvage or recovery value.
Improper selection of borrower’s activities, weak credit appraisal systems, industrial problems, inefficiency in the management of borrower, slackness in credit management and monitoring, the lack of proper follow-up, recession and natural calamities cause NPAs to rise.
Within the Indian banking system, diversion of funds for expansion, diversification and modernisation of existing projects, setting up of new projects, time and cost overruns, business failure, inefficiency in bank management and technology issues have also added to the bad debt burden.
Availability of credit is critical for the Modi Government’s flagship Make in India project. Yet, the amount of lending to industry had grown by just 2.1 per cent in the 2014-2015 (as per data available in December 2014) as compared to 8.1 per cent in the corresponding period in the previous year. In the infrastructure segment, consisting power, telecom and roads, lending has increased by only 6.8 per cent compared to 10.3 per cent the previous year.
Government banks need a substantial amount of capital to meet the mandatory capital requirements under the Basel-III norms. All banks have to be compliant with Basel-III capital norms by 2019. Moody’s Investors Service estimates that state-run Indian banks would need about Rs2.2 lakh to comply with the Basel-III norms.
Though the Government had committed Rs11,200 crore capital to state-run banks for 2014-2015, only about Rs6,990 crore was provided. Unless the public sector banks, which constitute 70 per cent of Indian banking system, are adequately capitalised, the much-need credit support to industries will not be forthcoming

10 Points For Traders-Must Read

10-points-ASR

pick of te day for 28-4-15

28-Apr-2015
PICK OF THE DAYTARGET 1TARGET 2STOP LOSS
BUY INFRATEL AT 392404412387
FUTURES
SELL JAIN IRRIGATION FUT AT 59575660

technical outlook for 28-4-15

TECHNICAL OUTLOOK
SCRIPCLOSESUPPORTRESISTANCEOUTLOOK
NIFTY8213.88178
8115
8050
8288
8366
8415
RESISTANCE AT 8288.
BANK NIFTY17767.6017718
17590
17325
17940
18125
18370
VERY VERY STRONG SUPPORT AT 17718
ITC344.85341
339
336
347
350
355
RESISTANCE AT 347.
REL INFRA410.55403
395
387
422
437
448
RESISTANCE AT 422.
SESASTER210.00206
201
197
216
222
227
RESISTANCE AT 216.
TCS2500.202477
2459
2428
2518
2555
2588
RESISTANCE AT 2555.
SAIL74.0072
71
68.50
76
77
79
RESISTANCE AT 76.
SBI267.05263
258
254
272
277
282
RESISTANCE AT 272.
DLF123.95120
114
108
128
133
137
RESISTANCE AT 128.
INFOSYS1984.651968
1944
1908
2018
2040
2077
RESISTANCE AT 2018.
TATA MOTORS516.85507
499
488
523
534
543
RESISTANCE AT 523.
BHEL226.30223
218
212
232
237
241
RESISTANCE AT 232.
TATA STEEL368.90358
345
337
377
386
395
RESISTANCE AT 377.
UNITECH14.9014.5
13.90
13
15.3
16.1
17
RESISTANCE AT 15.30
ONGC309.35304
298
292
316
321
328
RESISTANCE AT 316.
JP ASSOCIATE21.1021
20.20
19.50
21.8
22.3
23.4
RESISTANCE AT 21.80
RELCAPITAL404.50397
299
291
412
427
433
RESISTANCE AT 412.
RELIANCE875.30869
858
844
888
895
908
RESISTANCE AT 888.
HDIL107.20105
103
98
110
114
117
STRONG SUPPORT AT 103.
MARUTI3648.403605
3570
3525
3681
3737
3777
SUPPORT AT 3605.
HINDALCO130.05129
127
123
134
137
140
RESISTANCE AT 134.
ACC1493.951478
1445
1419
1529
1555
1583
RESISTANCE AT 1529.
LT1667.701639
1588
1543
1707
1747
1766
RESISTANCE AT 1707.

Breaking NEWS – Mylan rejects unsolicited $40bn Teva bid

Surprise, surprise.
Mylan, the US drugmaker, on Monday rejected a $40bn unsolicited approach from Israeli pharmaceutical company Teva.
Mylan, which is busy with its own pursuit of rival Perrigo, said Teva’s $82-a-share offer “grossly undervalues” the company and “did not meet any of the key criteria” that would give it reason to depart from its standalone strategy.
Robert J. Coury, Mylan’s executive chairman, said in a statement:
After thorough consideration, Mylan’s Board unanimously determined that Teva’s proposal grossly undervalues Mylan, and would require Mylan’s shareholders to accept what we believe are low-quality Teva shares in exchange for their high-quality Mylan shares in a transaction that lacks industrial logic and carries significant global antitrust risk.
The rejection comes just days after Perrigo rebuffed Mylan’s increased offer and further complicates the three-way takeover tussle between the three companies.
An acquisition of Perrigo would give Mylan a big over-the-counter drugs business while also widening its portfolio of generic prescription medicines. Mylan said it expected a combination with Perrigo would result in at least $800m of annual pre-tax cost savings.

market idea for 28-4-15

Market Review for 28th April 2015

Nifty (8214) we said ‘the elusive up day that we were looking for did not come…so if we get that up day and a close above 8415 then the market could arrest its down fall’ the market unfolded weak as expected and the up move did not come…technically no sign of strength and we can say the down move is arrested if the market trades above 8250…

The support for Nifty is it 8000 and the resistance to the up move is at 8250-8415

Are you mentally strong? A list to check against and start working on

Embedded image permalink

DLF-Below 128 ,Now Door Opened For 120-115–Then 99 !Balance Sheet should be Checked by CAG ?

dlf17

Yes ,Not only of this company but……….ALL Listed Reality Stocks ,Balance Sheets and Account should be checked by CAG !

BSE SENSEX-YTD Now Down 323 points ,Nifty is Down 70 points !No Aache Din at all For Investors/Country

BRITISH RAJ
Yes ,No LOGIC …………Nothing Doing !
Forget Economy ,Growth ,Fundamentals…………….Nothing will work here
God for Indian Market are FIIs only…………Nobody else !
Yes ,They ruled here 250 years………………and they know without ( Green money )…Nobody can shake this Market !
Results ,Fundamentals ……….All Bogus !All Data …Everything is leaked !
Those who trade blindly losing Tons of money everyday ,Because until corporate +Insiders +Media …Not stop trading…nobody can win !

Sunday, 26 April 2015

BRENT CRUDE -Last Hurdle $ 68.05,Next Target Nonstop $ 81—-$85 (Big Problem For India !! )

Just see already up by 18.69 % (This month )
All Eyes on $ 68.05 
3 Consecutive close above $ 68.05+Weekly close if happens +Monthly close above $ 68.05 level…………………..
Watch Nonstop Rally upto $ 81.05—————–85.38 level in coming weeks !
If This Happens……………Think where will Refinery Stocks + SENSEX +Nifty will go ??

trading plan for 27-4-15

Headlines ------ 27th Apr -2015

MARKET MOVEMENT               
No strength now below 27500, stay alert below this for 27000 also----Markets are in deep red and every support is breaking like anything under heavy selling pressure. This may continue so long the index remain below 27500 and may lead to 27000 also. Strength may be seen only above 27500 now.
 Markets may open flat for today and may remain in uncertain mode. No rise or recovery will sustain below 27500. Trade with extreme caution and try to exit as early as possible so that trade is not trapped in a sudden move.
Trading plan for today-Following action plan may be followed by day traders for today-------
Select IT stocks may remain good for day trades in view of high volatility for today
Trade Nifty with stop loss of 8300 for the target of 8380 and above. Sell below 8300 for the target of 8220 and below
PHARMA stocks may provide better opportunity for day traders on both side
Avoid AUTO stocks for today
 
SAFE STOCK---LUPIN
LUPIN is ruling around the level of 1758 and look to be good for the target of 1790  in any case in due course

First step in PSU bank merger drill-Yes ,This is Must and Should Happen Soon

The finance ministry is looking at the possibility of merging at least five state-run banks – from Andhra Bank, Bank of Maharashtra, Dena Bank, Punjab & Sind Bank, Vijaya Bank, and United Bank of India – with larger PSUs after their performance and bad asset levels improve.
The move has been recommended by the Working Group on Consolidation and Restructuring of PSBs (public sector banks).
Officials said smaller banks would be merged with larger banks, which needed a presence in regions where the smaller banks were strong.
The drive to create larger Indian banks stems from the need to comply with new Basel norms that would kick off by 2018 and create large entities capable of taking on competition from foreign banks with the opening up of the domestic financial sector.
Banks will need to raise almost Rs 4.5 lakh crore in Tier-1 capital, including Rs 2.4 lakh crore in equity capital, by March 2018 under the Basel III norms.
Officials said at present the focus would be on assessing the loan portfolios of small banks to help them exit businesses where they were not strong or were unprofitable. Subsequently, these banks would be asked to concentrate on particular segments.
“A re-assessment would be done and then a best-fit marriage might be looked at,” said officials.
Earlier, the government had merged the State Bank of Hyderabad with the State Bank of India. There was also a move to merge some of the other SBI subsidiaries with the State Bank of Patiala seen to be next in the queue.
However, officials said such moves could take place only when the bank boards felt they were ready. Officials said the North Block would be studying various proposals for mergers among PSU banks.
“We would like banks that have branches in the south to merge with a bank with most branches in the north. However, issues such as a bank’s work culture and level of integration will have to be taken into consideration before pressing for such mergers,” an official said.
Besides Basel, domestic banks need to merge or organically grow into larger entities in the long term before the financial market is opened up to foreign banks.
US and European countries have long been demanding greater access to the Indian financial market in return for concessions in the services sector.
Officials said the next round of global trade talks as well as several free-trade pacts being negotiated would see demands for the opening up of the financial sector.
The government has in the past toyed with the idea of merging the associates of the State Bank of India with it or creating an “SBI-2″ by merging some of these associates. Some associates such as the State Bank of Indore were merged with the SBI in the past.
The smaller unlisted subsidiaries are almost 100 per cent owned by the SBI and merging them should not pose any major problem as their functioning is similar to that of the parent.
The move, officials said, will create a larger SBI, giving the country’s largest bank much more financial muscle.
Loss-making PSU banks have been similarly merged with the profitable ones to create larger entities.To nudge the banks, the government has already decided that only profitable banks with a good performance record will be recapitalised.
A provision of Rs 9,555 crore has been made this fiscal for the recapitalisation of PSU banks, including the National Bank for Agriculture and Rural Development, the Export-Import Bank of India, India Infrastructure Finance Company and Small Industries Development Bank of India.
Last year, a provision of Rs 11,200 crore had been made for recapitalisation, but a mere Rs 6,990 crore was infused into banks, including the SBI, Bank of Baroda, Punjab National Bank, Canara Bank and Syndicate Bank.
However, officials cautioned that mergers and acquisitions can be brought about only if trade unions agreed to go along as agitations and strikes might affect operations.